Análisis de la eficacia de la vacunación en el tigre de Amur
Este proyecto fue parte de mi maestría en la Universidad de Glasgow. Adapté un modelo SIR para evaluar diferentes estrategias de vacunación para una población de tigres Amur en Rusia. Se puede acceder a los detalles del modelo y del proyecto a continuación en el artículo de investigación publicado en la revista PNAS por el investigador principal y el talentoso investigador Martin Gilbert.
5/8/20241 min leer
The model summary and main findings.
Details on the model and project here.
This mathematical model was originally written in Ruby programming language and run within an R script wrapper.
The model simulates different vaccination scenarios in this tiger population using population and diseases transmission parameters estimated by studying this population long-term.
At the end, scenarios were compared and the ones that reduce this population 50-year extinction probability were deemed the best.
This modelling work demonstrated even low-coverage vaccination could be feasible and make a positive impact in this endangered tiger population.
I always wanted to develop a similar work in endangered jaguar (Panthera onca) populations, especially in the Yucatan peninsula which has a long history in jaguar conservation, but recently been threaten by the highly controversial Mayan train megaproject.
